Description

This analysis provides a forecast of QNT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 93.020185 103.024931 113.318686 124.678337 136.839544 149.445806 163.478239
2025-01-05 76.758805 91.401113 107.228820 125.511617 145.948960 167.994846 193.475354
2025-01-12 67.483806 84.506813 103.539387 126.200168 152.247176 181.055848 215.129796
2025-01-19 58.281215 76.524469 97.570285 123.325953 153.671980 187.974905 229.357004
2025-01-26 54.537715 74.413160 97.924329 127.324335 162.631633 203.208556 252.889191
2025-02-02 50.746123 71.810424 97.321904 129.864870 169.631033 216.016330 273.559645
2025-02-09 46.771318 68.597195 95.643178 130.806868 174.484718 226.143063 291.009331
2025-02-16 44.774124 67.715546 96.702462 134.995648 183.209410 240.882434 314.016969
2025-02-23 41.977252 65.542712 95.920566 136.706750 188.762693 251.737767 332.374661
2025-03-02 38.047680 61.548818 92.518749 134.837002 189.641588 256.740014 343.539091
2025-03-09 34.887977 58.385016 90.003593 133.923877 191.574624 262.934811 356.107185
2025-03-16 32.380725 55.962829 88.325839 133.970722 194.630542 270.466959 370.316635
2025-03-23 31.373584 55.705326 89.646935 138.121161 203.191953 285.199420 393.901905
2025-03-30 29.497957 54.038989 88.921238 139.452318 208.056332 295.296848 411.802164
2025-04-06 27.582834 52.166684 87.778428 140.103126 211.940971 304.101782 428.076124
2025-04-13 24.743822 48.649332 84.078944 137.021696 210.670966 306.131951 435.633234
2025-04-20 24.202832 48.746410 85.636835 141.330912 219.424388 321.270211 460.128048
2025-04-27 23.276573 48.147610 86.112084 144.070960 226.039213 333.646923 481.150029
2025-05-04 21.971381 46.827895 85.427999 145.086140 230.251034 342.860538 498.118046
2025-05-11 21.617466 47.091014 87.145179 149.599425 239.352869 358.635100 523.767685
2025-05-18 20.646755 46.222366 87.064117 151.442237 244.718880 369.453767 542.995053
2025-05-25 18.867978 43.805117 84.448481 149.428536 244.576920 372.832256 552.409534
2025-06-01 17.445249 41.920262 82.580243 148.444902 245.826913 378.048591 564.248778